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V-Lab

Everflow Resources Ltd Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, June 25th, 2026

1 Day

371.42%

increased by 0.34%

1 Week

368.41%

decreased by 2.67%

1 Month

356.75%

decreased by 14.33%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, June 25, 2026 at 05:45 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Everflow Resources Ltd APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 31, 2007 to Feb 20, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 56 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 56 days. The volatility power δ = 3.00 sits above 2, so large shocks influence volatility more than quadratically, dominating the response more than in standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0000
2.15**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0055
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9523
366.42***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-1.0000
δ

power

Transformation power

3.0000
11.88***

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

56 days