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Everflow Resources Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026

1 Day

269.43%

decreased by 0.89%

1 Week

269.10%

decreased by 1.22%

1 Month

267.77%

decreased by 2.55%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 12:51 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/29/2024

to

09/29/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Everflow Resources Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 31, 2007 to Sep 29, 2026
Illiquid Asset

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 448 trading days (~1.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 9.28 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~448 daysv = 9.28 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run137.0680
2.18**
αscore0.1602
10.34***
βpersistence0.9985
1,190.05***
νDF9.2758
2.07**

0.998

Persistence

448d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

137.0680
2.18**
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.1602
10.34***
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9985
1,190.05***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

9.2758
2.07**

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

448 days