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V-Lab

Everflow Resources Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026

1 Day

266,695,322,793,632,830,000.00%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

346,259,807,658,931,100,000.00%

increased by 79,564,484,865,298,300,000.00%

1 Month

463,867,136,149,997,160,000.00%

increased by 197,171,813,356,364,330,000.00%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 02:13 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Everflow Resources Ltd SGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 31, 2007 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 5 trading days.

τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

13.4946
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3868
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4926
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-40.0102
γ2-23.6965
γ3156.4138
γ451.4723
γ5-357.3807
γ6-22.3657
γ71,051.9670
γ8-1,403.3290
γ9675.0491
γ10-55.2494

Persistence:

0.879

Half-life:

5 days