Leverage Shares 2X Long ECHO Daily ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
97.67%
decreased by 1.32%
1 Week
102.40%
increased by 3.41%
1 Month
113.20%
increased by 14.21%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 16, 2025 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 1.57 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1532 | 1.42 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8449 | 16.02*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1532 | -1.41 |
Persistence:
0.922
Half-life:
8 days
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