V-Lab
Community West Bancshares GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
24.01%
decreased by 0.79%
1 Week
26.30%
increased by 1.50%
1 Month
33.14%
increased by 8.34%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:16 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 3, 1995 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 36% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2756 | 18.11*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1387 | 17.59*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8175 | 162.72*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0501 | 3.38*** |
Persistence:
0.981
Half-life:
37 days
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