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V-Lab

Community West Bancshares GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

24.01%

decreased by 0.79%

1 Week

26.30%

increased by 1.50%

1 Month

33.14%

increased by 8.34%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:16 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Community West Bancshares GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 3, 1995 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 36% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2756
18.11***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1387
17.59***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8175
162.72***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0501
3.38***

Persistence:

0.981

Half-life:

37 days