Skip to main content
V-Lab

Community West Bancshares GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

24.73%

decreased by 2.00%

1 Week

26.57%

decreased by 0.16%

1 Month

32.43%

increased by 5.70%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:16 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Community West Bancshares GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 3, 1995 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 50 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 50 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.05 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

16.2980
3.35***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1253
51.42***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9863
243.11***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.0522
38.85***

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

50 days