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V-Lab

Community West Bancshares MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

23.88%

decreased by 0.55%

1 Week

26.96%

increased by 2.53%

1 Month

32.09%

increased by 7.66%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:16 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Community West Bancshares MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 3, 1995 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

46
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1804
22.46***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6630
48.45***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0230
1.69*
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.1161
3.18***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0600
3.31***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9264
39.92***

Persistence:

0.855

Half-life:

4 days