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Calamos S&P 500 Stru ETF JAN MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026

1 Day

5.87%

decreased by 0.51%

1 Week

5.82%

decreased by 0.56%

1 Month

5.63%

decreased by 0.75%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 03:20 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/09/2024

to

11/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Calamos S&P 500 Stru ETF JAN MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 2025 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

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Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.8384
21.90***
γleverage0.2880
6.82***
λ₁tau intercept0.0678
3.25***

0.982

Persistence

39d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8384
21.90***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2880
6.82***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0678
3.25***

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

39 days