Calamos S&P 500 Stru ETF JAN MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026
1 Day
5.87%
decreased by 0.51%
1 Week
5.82%
decreased by 0.56%
1 Month
5.63%
decreased by 0.75%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 03:20 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 2025 to Nov 6, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.8384 | 21.90*** |
| γleverage | 0.2880 | 6.82*** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0678 | 3.25*** |
0.982
Persistence39d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8384 | 21.90*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2880 | 6.82*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0678 | 3.25*** |
Persistence:
0.982
Half-life:
39 days
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