V-Lab
3IQ Bitcoin ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
43.21%
decreased by 0.52%
1 Week
44.86%
increased by 1.13%
1 Month
49.03%
increased by 5.30%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 09:03 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 19, 2021 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.7745 | 5.83*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0222 | 4.67*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8678 | 61.57*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0937 | 4.37*** |
Persistence:
0.937
Half-life:
11 days
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