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V-Lab

3IQ Bitcoin ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

43.21%

decreased by 0.52%

1 Week

44.86%

increased by 1.13%

1 Month

49.03%

increased by 5.30%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 09:03 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of 3IQ Bitcoin ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 19, 2021 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7745
5.83***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0222
4.67***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8678
61.57***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0937
4.37***

Persistence:

0.937

Half-life:

11 days