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V-Lab

3IQ Bitcoin ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

43.06%

decreased by 1.15%

1 Week

43.63%

decreased by 0.58%

1 Month

45.61%

increased by 1.40%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 09:04 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of 3IQ Bitcoin ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 19, 2021 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 38 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 38 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.00 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

12.8783
3.69***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0442
15.76***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9818
139.19***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.0044
3.04***

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

38 days