Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Binancecoin to US Dollar Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026

1 Day

35.27%

increased by 7.53%

1 Week

42.82%

increased by 15.08%

1 Month

63.49%

increased by 35.75%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 06:02 AM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/22/2024

to

10/22/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Binancecoin to US Dollar S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 20, 2018 to Oct 17, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 64 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst3.4029
1.49
αARCH0.5470
20.67***
βGARCH0.4422
40.34***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-1.3395
-0.95
γ22.0099
1.07
γ3-0.8565
-0.83
γ4-0.7835
-0.88
γ52.6989
2.22**
γ6-23.5543
-11.18***
γ764.5706
12.62***
γ8-66.5896
-9.21***
γ926.3549
4.76***
γ10-2.9673
-1.21

0.989

Persistence

64d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.4029
1.49
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.5470
20.67***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4422
40.34***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-1.3395
-0.95
γ22.0099
1.07
γ3-0.8565
-0.83
γ4-0.7835
-0.88
γ52.6989
2.22**
γ6-23.5543
-11.18***
γ764.5706
12.62***
γ8-66.5896
-9.21***
γ926.3549
4.76***
γ10-2.9673
-1.21

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

64 days