V-Lab
Binancecoin to US Dollar MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
35.21%
decreased by 3.66%
1 Week
167.26%
increased by 128.39%
1 Month
433,588.47%
increased by 433,549.60%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:02 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 20, 2018 to Aug 22, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 77% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1315 | 13.87*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7776 | 110.41*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1013 | 10.92*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0251 | 0.48 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.9987 | 20.43*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0013 | 0.81 |
Persistence:
0.960
Half-life:
17 days
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