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V-Lab

Binancecoin to US Dollar MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

35.21%

decreased by 3.66%

1 Week

167.26%

increased by 128.39%

1 Month

433,588.47%

increased by 433,549.60%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:02 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Binancecoin to US Dollar MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 20, 2018 to Aug 22, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 77% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1315
13.87***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7776
110.41***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1013
10.92***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0251
0.48
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.9987
20.43***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0013
0.81

Persistence:

0.960

Half-life:

17 days