V-Lab
Ballard Power Systems Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
76.50%
decreased by 3.42%
1 Week
76.28%
decreased by 3.64%
1 Month
75.74%
decreased by 4.18%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:06 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 8, 1995 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.6509 | 21.29*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1631 | 15.98*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7708 | 94.98*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0160 | -0.91 |
Persistence:
0.926
Half-life:
9 days
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