V-Lab
Ballard Power Systems Inc Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
72.53%
decreased by 6.58%
1 Week
65.59%
decreased by 13.52%
1 Month
52.24%
decreased by 26.87%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:06 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 8, 1995 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days. The volatility power δ = 0.50 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
μ
APMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1574 | 40.71*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2542 | 61.59*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6893 | 129.32*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0591 | -8.52*** |
δ power Transformation power | 0.5000 | 44.98*** |
Persistence:
0.898
Half-life:
6 days
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