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Ballard Power Systems Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

86.59%

decreased by 1.44%

1 Week

85.60%

decreased by 2.43%

1 Month

82.46%

decreased by 5.57%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:06 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Ballard Power Systems Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 8, 1995 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 18 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 18 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.14 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

20.7340
7.14***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1070
28.10***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9612
169.19***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.1405
11.28***

Persistence:

0.961

Half-life:

18 days