V-Lab
Ballard Power Systems Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
86.59%
decreased by 1.44%
1 Week
85.60%
decreased by 2.43%
1 Month
82.46%
decreased by 5.57%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:06 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 8, 1995 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 18 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 18 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.14 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 20.7340 | 7.14*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1070 | 28.10*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9612 | 169.19*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 4.1405 | 11.28*** |
Persistence:
0.961
Half-life:
18 days
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