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V-Lab

Airbus SE MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

28.43%

decreased by 0.60%

1 Week

29.15%

increased by 0.12%

1 Month

31.24%

increased by 2.21%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:49 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Airbus SE MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 12, 2000 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

61
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0212
8.72***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8732
165.41***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1172
24.07***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0301
4.22***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0258
3.73***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9683
115.90***

Persistence:

0.953

Half-life:

14 days