V-Lab
Airbus SE MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
28.43%
decreased by 0.60%
1 Week
29.15%
increased by 0.12%
1 Month
31.24%
increased by 2.21%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:49 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 12, 2000 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 61 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0212 | 8.72*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8732 | 165.41*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1172 | 24.07*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0301 | 4.22*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0258 | 3.73*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9683 | 115.90*** |
Persistence:
0.953
Half-life:
14 days
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