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V-Lab

Airbus SE GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

25.91%

decreased by 0.96%

1 Week

26.22%

decreased by 0.65%

1 Month

27.34%

increased by 0.47%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:48 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Airbus SE GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 12, 2000 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 51 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 51 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.06 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0782
5.57***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0691
27.28***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9864
358.82***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

6.0627
6.14***

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

51 days