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V-Lab

Airbus SE GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

26.85%

decreased by 0.58%

1 Week

27.31%

decreased by 0.12%

1 Month

28.93%

increased by 1.50%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:47 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Airbus SE GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 12, 2000 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0903
17.78***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0227
12.18***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9120
447.51***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1027
18.39***

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

49 days