V-Lab
Airbus SE GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
26.85%
decreased by 0.58%
1 Week
27.31%
decreased by 0.12%
1 Month
28.93%
increased by 1.50%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 12, 2000 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0903 | 17.78*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0227 | 12.18*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9120 | 447.51*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1027 | 18.39*** |
Persistence:
0.986
Half-life:
49 days
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