Cardano to US Dollar GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026
1 Day
57.87%
decreased by 2.36%
1 Week
59.25%
decreased by 0.98%
1 Month
63.87%
increased by 3.64%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 09:11 AM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 1, 2022 to Oct 24, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 35 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 35 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 35-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.5845 | 2.10** |
| αARCH | 0.0988 | 2.59*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8684 | 26.48*** |
| γleverage | 0.0268 | 0.43 |
0.981
Persistence35d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5845 | 2.10** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0988 | 2.59*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8684 | 26.48*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0268 | 0.43 |
Persistence:
0.981
Half-life:
35 days
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