V-Lab
Cardano to US Dollar GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026
1 Day
68.30%
decreased by 3.48%
1 Week
69.26%
decreased by 2.52%
1 Month
72.59%
increased by 0.81%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 06:11 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 1, 2022 to Sep 5, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 41 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 41 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 41-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.5731 | 2.08** |
| αARCH | 0.1032 | 2.62*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8656 | 26.25*** |
| γleverage | 0.0292 | 0.45 |
0.983
Persistence41d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5731 | 2.08** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1032 | 2.62*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8656 | 26.25*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0292 | 0.45 |
Persistence:
0.983
Half-life:
41 days
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