V-Lab
Cardano to US Dollar GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
55.09%
increased by 0.68%
1 Week
55.77%
increased by 1.36%
1 Month
57.93%
increased by 3.52%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 06:04 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 1, 2022 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 21 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 21 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.86 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 16.9126 | 3.96*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0727 | 11.70*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9682 | 118.49*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 4.8615 | 3.11*** |
Persistence:
0.968
Half-life:
21 days
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