Skip to main content
V-Lab

Cardano to US Dollar GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026

1 Day

43.89%

decreased by 1.92%

1 Week

45.40%

decreased by 0.41%

1 Month

50.05%

increased by 4.24%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 06:03 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Cardano to US Dollar GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 1, 2022 to Aug 15, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 22 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 22 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.84 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

16.7198
3.88***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0702
11.75***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9696
121.44***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.8445
3.10***

Persistence:

0.970

Half-life:

22 days