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Cardano to US Dollar GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

65.41%

decreased by 3.21%

1 Week

65.43%

decreased by 3.19%

1 Month

65.48%

decreased by 3.14%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 06:11 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Cardano to US Dollar GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 1, 2022 to Sep 5, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 22 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 22 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.74 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 22-day half-lifev = 4.74 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst17.1190
0.97
αARCH0.0679
2.93***
βGARCH0.9690
29.26***
νDF4.7442
0.78

0.969

Persistence

22d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

17.1190
0.97
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0679
2.93***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9690
29.26***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.7442
0.78

Persistence:

0.969

Half-life:

22 days