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Cardano to US Dollar GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

55.09%

increased by 0.68%

1 Week

55.77%

increased by 1.36%

1 Month

57.93%

increased by 3.52%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 06:04 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Cardano to US Dollar GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 1, 2022 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 21 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 21 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.86 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

16.9126
3.96***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0727
11.70***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9682
118.49***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.8615
3.11***

Persistence:

0.968

Half-life:

21 days