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V-Lab

Meiko Trans Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

13.56%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

14.80%

increased by 1.24%

1 Month

17.42%

increased by 3.86%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 11:14 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Meiko Trans Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 30, 1993 to Aug 21, 2026
Stationarity Enforced

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 51% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

86
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1717
16.45***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7727
55.25***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0582
-2.89***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0085
1.96*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0261
4.68***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9728
169.65***

Persistence:

0.915

Half-life:

8 days