V-Lab
Meiko Trans Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
13.56%
1 Week
14.80%
1 Month
17.42%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 11:14 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 30, 1993 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 51% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 86 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1717 | 16.45*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7727 | 55.25*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0582 | -2.89*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0085 | 1.96* |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0261 | 4.68*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9728 | 169.65*** |
Persistence:
0.915
Half-life:
8 days
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