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V-Lab

Meiko Trans Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

146.66%

increased by 2.10%

1 Week

159.92%

increased by 15.36%

1 Month

198.31%

increased by 53.75%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 11:11 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Meiko Trans Co Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 30, 1993 to Aug 21, 2026
Extended Optimization

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.01 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

405.7557
3.17***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0980
40.20***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9742
121.03***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0064
3,021.75***

Persistence:

0.974

Half-life:

26 days