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V-Lab

Akita Bank Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

37.37%

decreased by 1.48%

1 Week

36.87%

decreased by 1.98%

1 Month

35.30%

decreased by 3.55%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:47 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Akita Bank Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 4, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 92% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

106
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0538
15.56***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8779
123.46***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0495
8.50***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

3.1008
0.01
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.1753
0.00

Persistence:

0.956

Half-life:

16 days