V-Lab
Akita Bank Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
39.84%
decreased by 1.71%
1 Week
39.18%
decreased by 2.37%
1 Month
37.10%
decreased by 4.45%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 07:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 4, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 90% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 106 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0542 | 15.63*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8786 | 124.57*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0488 | 8.40*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2.6845 | 0.01 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.2891 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.957
Half-life:
16 days
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