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V-Lab

Akita Bank Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026

1 Day

49.51%

decreased by 4.53%

1 Week

48.18%

decreased by 5.86%

1 Month

45.33%

decreased by 8.71%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 11:25 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/28/2024

to

10/28/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Akita Bank Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 4, 1990 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 87% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 87% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow26
αARCH0.0755
4.23***
βGARCH0.7307
18.69***
γleverage0.0656
2.56**
λ₁tau intercept0.0863
2.15**
λ₂forecast adj.0.0493
2.26**
λ₃tau persistence0.9271
29.85***

0.839

Persistence

4d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0755
4.23***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7307
18.69***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0656
2.56**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0863
2.15**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0493
2.26**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9271
29.85***

Persistence:

0.839

Half-life:

4 days