V-Lab
Akita Bank Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
37.37%
decreased by 1.48%
1 Week
36.87%
decreased by 1.98%
1 Month
35.30%
decreased by 3.55%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 4, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 92% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 106 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0538 | 15.56*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8779 | 123.46*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0495 | 8.50*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 3.1008 | 0.01 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.1753 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.956
Half-life:
16 days
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