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V-Lab

Akita Bank Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

39.84%

decreased by 1.71%

1 Week

39.18%

decreased by 2.37%

1 Month

37.10%

decreased by 4.45%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 07:34 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Akita Bank Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 4, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 90% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

106
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0542
15.63***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8786
124.57***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0488
8.40***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.6845
0.01
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.2891
0.00

Persistence:

0.957

Half-life:

16 days