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V-Lab

Akita Bank Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026

1 Day

37.12%

decreased by 2.36%

1 Week

37.55%

decreased by 1.93%

1 Month

38.58%

decreased by 0.90%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 08:07 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/06/2024

to

10/06/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Akita Bank Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 4, 1990 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 83% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 83% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow26
αARCH0.0768
4.23***
βGARCH0.7257
18.05***
γleverage0.0641
2.47**
λ₁tau intercept0.0889
2.18**
λ₂forecast adj.0.0498
2.28**
λ₃tau persistence0.9257
29.50***

0.834

Persistence

4d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0768
4.23***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7257
18.05***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0641
2.47**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0889
2.18**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0498
2.28**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9257
29.50***

Persistence:

0.834

Half-life:

4 days