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V-Lab

Akita Bank Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

36.17%

increased by 3.48%

1 Week

35.76%

increased by 3.07%

1 Month

34.48%

increased by 1.79%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 08:24 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Akita Bank Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 4, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 16-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow106
αARCH0.0540
3.76***
βGARCH0.8785
39.12***
γleverage0.0490
1.95*
λ₁tau intercept2.6990
0.06
λ₂forecast adj.0.0000
0.00
λ₃tau persistence0.2839
0.02

0.957

Persistence

16d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

106
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0540
3.76***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8785
39.12***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0490
1.95*
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.6990
0.06
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.2839
0.02

Persistence:

0.957

Half-life:

16 days