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V-Lab

Akita Bank Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

37.56%

decreased by 1.59%

1 Week

37.06%

decreased by 2.09%

1 Month

35.51%

decreased by 3.64%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:46 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Akita Bank Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 4, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 111% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1713
11.10***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0529
12.70***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8732
154.01***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0588
5.23***

Persistence:

0.956

Half-life:

15 days