V-Lab
Akita Bank Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
37.56%
decreased by 1.59%
1 Week
37.06%
decreased by 2.09%
1 Month
35.51%
decreased by 3.64%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:46 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 4, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 111% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1713 | 11.10*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0529 | 12.70*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8732 | 154.01*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0588 | 5.23*** |
Persistence:
0.956
Half-life:
15 days
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