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Akita Bank Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026

1 Day

38.23%

decreased by 1.93%

1 Week

37.83%

decreased by 2.33%

1 Month

36.51%

decreased by 3.65%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 08:06 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/06/2024

to

10/06/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Akita Bank Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 4, 1990 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 121% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 121% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1265
4.22***
αARCH0.0513
3.67***
βGARCH0.8852
48.48***
γleverage0.0619
2.17**

0.967

Persistence

21d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1265
4.22***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0513
3.67***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8852
48.48***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0619
2.17**

Persistence:

0.967

Half-life:

21 days