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Akita Bank Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026

1 Day

58.58%

decreased by 3.40%

1 Week

57.27%

decreased by 4.71%

1 Month

52.78%

decreased by 9.20%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 11:24 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/28/2024

to

10/28/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Akita Bank Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 4, 1990 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 121% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 121% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1259
4.23***
αARCH0.0516
3.69***
βGARCH0.8850
48.75***
γleverage0.0625
2.20**

0.968

Persistence

21d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1259
4.23***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0516
3.69***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8850
48.75***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0625
2.20**

Persistence:

0.968

Half-life:

21 days