V-Lab
Akita Bank Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
39.99%
decreased by 1.77%
1 Week
39.33%
decreased by 2.43%
1 Month
37.26%
decreased by 4.50%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 07:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 4, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 109% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1694 | 11.08*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0532 | 12.72*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8740 | 155.62*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0580 | 5.16*** |
Persistence:
0.956
Half-life:
15 days
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