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Akita Bank Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026

1 Day

59.78%

decreased by 0.89%

1 Week

58.32%

decreased by 2.35%

1 Month

53.42%

decreased by 7.25%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 11:25 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/28/2024

to

10/28/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Akita Bank Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 4, 1990 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 19 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 19 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 7.92 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 19-day half-lifev = 7.92 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run4.3183
4.74***
αscore0.1022
7.68***
βpersistence0.9645
123.40***
νDF7.9233
1.52

0.964

Persistence

19d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

4.3183
4.74***
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.1022
7.68***
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9645
123.40***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

7.9233
1.52

Persistence:

0.964

Half-life:

19 days