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Matsuda Sangyo Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026

1 Day

53.62%

decreased by 2.23%

1 Week

53.65%

decreased by 2.20%

1 Month

53.77%

decreased by 2.08%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 07:41 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/21/2024

to

10/21/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Matsuda Sangyo Co Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 28, 1995 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, volatility shocks have a half-life of 139 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.995, shock half-life ~139 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0636
4.43***
αARCH0.0769
5.57***
βGARCH0.9126
105.82***
γleverage0.0111
0.41

0.995

Persistence

139d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0636
4.43***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0769
5.57***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9126
105.82***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0111
0.41

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

139 days