Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Matsuda Sangyo Co Ltd MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 16th, 2026

1 Day

45.57%

increased by 1.40%

1 Week

45.67%

increased by 1.50%

1 Month

46.10%

increased by 1.93%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 08:15 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/15/2024

to

10/15/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Matsuda Sangyo Co Ltd MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 28, 1995 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, volatility shocks have a half-life of 1547 trading days (~6.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~1547 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0230
1.37
αARCH0.0774
6.30***
βGARCH0.9222
58.90***

1.000

Persistence

1547d

Half-life
μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0230
1.37
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0774
6.30***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9222
58.90***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1547 days