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V-Lab

Hua Hong Grace Semiconductor Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

92.31%

decreased by 4.64%

1 Week

96.84%

decreased by 0.11%

1 Month

104.80%

increased by 7.85%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 07:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Hua Hong Grace Semiconductor Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 7, 2023 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 236% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

41
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1794
11.98***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7767
35.36***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1259
-6.18***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.9994
0.92
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.4294
1.20
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.5148
1.14

Persistence:

0.893

Half-life:

6 days