V-Lab
Hua Hong Grace Semiconductor Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
83.20%
decreased by 7.00%
1 Week
82.20%
decreased by 8.00%
1 Month
78.96%
decreased by 11.24%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 07:03 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 7, 2023 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 89% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6923 | 8.65*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1743 | 9.01*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8291 | 64.10*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0820 | -2.33** |
Persistence:
0.962
Half-life:
18 days
Other Hua Hong Grace Semiconductor Ltd Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on International Equities