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V-Lab

Hua Hong Grace Semiconductor Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

102.46%

decreased by 10.85%

1 Week

101.12%

decreased by 12.19%

1 Month

96.38%

decreased by 16.93%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 07:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Hua Hong Grace Semiconductor Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 7, 2023 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 28 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 28 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.48 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

18.5331
3.89***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0900
19.70***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9760
150.24***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.4808
12.13***

Persistence:

0.976

Half-life:

28 days