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V-Lab

Shanghai Model Organisms Center Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

122.79%

increased by 0.12%

1 Week

117.90%

decreased by 4.77%

1 Month

102.36%

decreased by 20.31%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 07:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Shanghai Model Organisms Center Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 28, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.58 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

10.8353
3.55***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1057
11.73***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9499
70.02***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.5772
6.09***

Persistence:

0.950

Half-life:

13 days