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V-Lab

Shanghai Model Organisms Center Inc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

108.32%

decreased by 4.71%

1 Week

103.75%

decreased by 9.28%

1 Month

91.15%

decreased by 21.88%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 07:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Shanghai Model Organisms Center Inc S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 28, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 9 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1098
6.66***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1069
3.40***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8195
15.62***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ10.3618
3.47***
γ2-0.5044
-3.69***

Persistence:

0.926

Half-life:

9 days