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V-Lab

Shanghai Model Organisms Center Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

115.14%

decreased by 6.73%

1 Week

110.90%

decreased by 10.97%

1 Month

97.23%

decreased by 24.64%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 07:03 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Shanghai Model Organisms Center Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 28, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 209% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4711
8.96***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1445
9.51***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8575
77.51***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0978
-4.55***

Persistence:

0.953

Half-life:

14 days