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V-Lab

Jinbei Automotive Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 8th, 2026

1 Day

36.52%

decreased by 1.72%

1 Week

38.68%

increased by 0.44%

1 Month

42.71%

increased by 4.47%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 06:43 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Jinbei Automotive Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 24, 1992 to Sep 30, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 3-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow26
αARCH0.1794
7.53***
βGARCH0.6355
16.86***
γleverage-0.0493
-1.49
λ₁tau intercept0.2053
2.07**
λ₂forecast adj.0.0391
2.50**
λ₃tau persistence0.9379
37.24***

0.790

Persistence

3d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1794
7.53***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6355
16.86***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0493
-1.49
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.2053
2.07**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0391
2.50**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9379
37.24***

Persistence:

0.790

Half-life:

3 days