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V-Lab

Jinbei Automotive Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

35.62%

decreased by 1.92%

1 Week

37.08%

decreased by 0.46%

1 Month

39.45%

increased by 1.91%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 06:06 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Jinbei Automotive Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 24, 1992 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 41% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1782
31.80***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6410
44.81***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0515
-6.50***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.2049
2.97***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0390
3.07***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9381
49.57***

Persistence:

0.793

Half-life:

3 days