V-Lab
Jinbei Automotive Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 8th, 2026
1 Day
36.52%
decreased by 1.72%
1 Week
38.68%
increased by 0.44%
1 Month
42.71%
increased by 4.47%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 06:43 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 24, 1992 to Sep 30, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 3-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 26 | |
| αARCH | 0.1794 | 7.53*** |
| βGARCH | 0.6355 | 16.86*** |
| γleverage | -0.0493 | -1.49 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.2053 | 2.07** |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0391 | 2.50** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9379 | 37.24*** |
0.790
Persistence3d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1794 | 7.53*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6355 | 16.86*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0493 | -1.49 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.2053 | 2.07** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0391 | 2.50** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9379 | 37.24*** |
Persistence:
0.790
Half-life:
3 days
Other Jinbei Automotive Co Ltd Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on International Equities