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V-Lab

Jinbei Automotive Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

37.90%

increased by 1.44%

1 Week

38.49%

increased by 2.03%

1 Month

39.95%

increased by 3.49%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:00 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Jinbei Automotive Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 24, 1992 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 41% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1784
31.82***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6409
44.79***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0518
-6.53***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.2079
2.97***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0392
3.06***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9376
49.08***

Persistence:

0.793

Half-life:

3 days