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V-Lab

Jinbei Automotive Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026

1 Day

53.80%

increased by 20.67%

1 Week

49.68%

increased by 16.55%

1 Month

44.62%

increased by 11.49%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 03:26 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Jinbei Automotive Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 24, 1992 to Sep 14, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 3-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow26
αARCH0.1773
7.47***
βGARCH0.6408
17.07***
γleverage-0.0497
-1.52
λ₁tau intercept0.2025
2.07**
λ₂forecast adj.0.0388
2.49**
λ₃tau persistence0.9386
37.55***

0.793

Persistence

3d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1773
7.47***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6408
17.07***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0497
-1.52
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.2025
2.07**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0388
2.49**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9386
37.55***

Persistence:

0.793

Half-life:

3 days