Jinbei Automotive Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
37.90%
1 Week
38.49%
1 Month
39.95%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:00 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 24, 1992 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 41% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1784 | 31.82*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6409 | 44.79*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0518 | -6.53*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.2079 | 2.97*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0392 | 3.06*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9376 | 49.08*** |
Persistence:
0.793
Half-life:
3 days
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