Jinbei Automotive Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
38.33%
increased by 1.37%
1 Week
39.37%
increased by 2.41%
1 Month
42.44%
increased by 5.48%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 05:59 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 24, 1992 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 18 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 18 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3920 | 21.51*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1061 | 17.38*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8623 | 190.07*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0144 | -1.73* |
Persistence:
0.961
Half-life:
18 days
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