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Jinbei Automotive Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026

1 Day

44.77%

decreased by 2.77%

1 Week

45.16%

decreased by 2.38%

1 Month

46.43%

decreased by 1.11%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 08:58 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/28/2024

to

10/28/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Jinbei Automotive Co Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 24, 1992 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 21 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 21 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.94 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 21-day half-lifev = 4.94 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run10.8405
2.20**
αscore0.1022
7.58***
βpersistence0.9681
63.97***
νDF4.9433
2.43**

0.968

Persistence

21d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

10.8405
2.20**
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.1022
7.58***
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9681
63.97***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.9433
2.43**

Persistence:

0.968

Half-life:

21 days