Jinbei Automotive Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
43.94%
increased by 3.49%
1 Week
44.53%
increased by 4.08%
1 Month
46.39%
increased by 5.94%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:00 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 24, 1992 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 22 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 22 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.25 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 11.1010 | 6.91*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1020 | 29.97*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9692 | 211.66*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 4.2509 | 11.84*** |
Persistence:
0.969
Half-life:
22 days
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