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Jinbei Automotive Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026

1 Day

44.16%

increased by 9.12%

1 Week

44.72%

increased by 9.68%

1 Month

46.51%

increased by 11.47%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 03:24 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Jinbei Automotive Co Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 24, 1992 to Sep 14, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 22 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 22 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.27 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 22-day half-lifev = 4.27 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst11.0281
1.75*
αARCH0.1020
7.52***
βGARCH0.9690
53.43***
νDF4.2658
2.96***

0.969

Persistence

22d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

11.0281
1.75*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1020
7.52***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9690
53.43***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.2658
2.96***

Persistence:

0.969

Half-life:

22 days