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V-Lab

Jinbei Automotive Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

39.21%

decreased by 1.55%

1 Week

40.15%

decreased by 0.61%

1 Month

43.10%

increased by 2.34%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 06:05 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Jinbei Automotive Co Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 24, 1992 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 22 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 22 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.26 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

11.0641
6.97***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1020
30.04***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9691
213.28***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.2624
11.85***

Persistence:

0.969

Half-life:

22 days