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Jinbei Automotive Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 8th, 2026

1 Day

43.67%

decreased by 3.32%

1 Week

44.28%

decreased by 2.71%

1 Month

46.21%

decreased by 0.78%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 06:40 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Jinbei Automotive Co Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 24, 1992 to Sep 30, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 21 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 21 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.26 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 21-day half-lifev = 4.26 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst11.0213
1.78*
αARCH0.1031
7.50***
βGARCH0.9682
52.63***
νDF4.2637
2.96***

0.968

Persistence

21d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

11.0213
1.78*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1031
7.50***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9682
52.63***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.2637
2.96***

Persistence:

0.968

Half-life:

21 days