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V-Lab

Synapsoft Corporation MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

46.78%

decreased by 1.02%

1 Week

55.07%

increased by 7.27%

1 Month

56.67%

increased by 8.87%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 08:03 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Synapsoft Corporation MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 19, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

121
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0190
2.58***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2860
3.13***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.1552
0.04
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

1.0000
0.04
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.162

Half-life:

0 days