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V-Lab

Synapsoft Corporation Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

44.04%

increased by 0.09%

1 Week

45.91%

increased by 1.96%

1 Month

46.34%

increased by 2.39%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 08:03 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Synapsoft Corporation S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 19, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.9164
2.82***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1231
0.91
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0316
0.25
γi Spline Coefficients
K=5
γ130.8713
2.00**
γ2-50.1159
-1.98**
γ335.6166
2.26**
γ4-22.5474
-2.66***
γ56.6162
1.01

Persistence:

0.155

Half-life:

0 days