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V-Lab

Synapsoft Corporation GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

48.56%

decreased by 1.84%

1 Week

50.16%

decreased by 0.24%

1 Month

53.92%

increased by 3.52%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 08:03 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Synapsoft Corporation GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 19, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.94 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

13.7250
2.14**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1232
7.60***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9223
27.83***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.9392
5.08***

Persistence:

0.922

Half-life:

9 days