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V-Lab

Synapsoft Corporation GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

43.18%

increased by 0.41%

1 Week

52.25%

increased by 9.48%

1 Month

63.99%

increased by 21.22%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 08:03 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Synapsoft Corporation GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 19, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 211% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.2326
11.09***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.6146
5.18***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4302
17.94***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.4169
-2.91***

Persistence:

0.836

Half-life:

4 days