V-Lab
Synapsoft Corporation GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
43.18%
increased by 0.41%
1 Week
52.25%
increased by 9.48%
1 Month
63.99%
increased by 21.22%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 08:03 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 19, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 211% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.2326 | 11.09*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.6146 | 5.18*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4302 | 17.94*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.4169 | -2.91*** |
Persistence:
0.836
Half-life:
4 days
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