V-Lab
Yuil Robotics Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
70.81%
1 Week
77.63%
1 Month
77.65%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 12:49 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 18, 2022 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 229% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.4961 | 21.27*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.1172 | 7.40*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.3454 | -10.18*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 3.4460 | 0.72 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.3560 | 0.74 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.4646 | 0.65 |
Persistence:
0.441
Half-life:
1 days
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