V-Lab
Yuil Robotics Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
78.15%
1 Week
86.29%
1 Month
88.11%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 08:56 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 18, 2022 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 239% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.4925 | 21.35*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.1019 | 6.70*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.3474 | -10.35*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 3.2920 | 0.72 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.3795 | 0.76 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.4551 | 0.63 |
Persistence:
0.421
Half-life:
1 days
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