V-Lab
Yuil Robotics Co Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
71.52%
decreased by 2.86%
1 Week
84.18%
increased by 9.80%
1 Month
88.62%
increased by 14.24%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 9, 2026 at 12:37 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 18, 2022 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.
τ
Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.8782 | 5.07*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3616 | 2.91*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0552 | 0.85 |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | 0.4490 | 3.70*** |
| γ2 | -0.4847 | -2.06** |
Persistence:
0.417
Half-life:
1 days
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