V-Lab
Yuil Robotics Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
69.62%
increased by 6.52%
1 Week
70.25%
increased by 7.15%
1 Month
71.87%
increased by 8.77%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 12:49 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 18, 2022 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.34 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 21.9958 | 3.02*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1116 | 9.93*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9324 | 38.03*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 3.3445 | 5.19*** |
Persistence:
0.932
Half-life:
10 days
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