Yuil Robotics Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
98.11%
decreased by 5.83%
1 Week
95.51%
decreased by 8.43%
1 Month
88.30%
decreased by 15.64%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 08:36 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 18, 2022 to Jul 16, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.27 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 22.1592 | 2.81*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1071 | 9.41*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9335 | 36.75*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 3.2705 | 4.97*** |
Persistence:
0.934
Half-life:
10 days
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