V-Lab
Yuil Robotics Co Ltd Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
77.52%
decreased by 8.83%
1 Week
67.14%
decreased by 19.21%
1 Month
53.46%
decreased by 32.89%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 08:56 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 18, 2022 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. The volatility power δ = 0.50 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
μ
APMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3065 | 6.02*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3236 | 25.21*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5515 | 29.89*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0355 | -1.82* |
δ power Transformation power | 0.5000 | 4.74*** |
Persistence:
0.818
Half-life:
3 days
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