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V-Lab

Luyuan Group Holding Cayman GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

63.37%

decreased by 7.83%

1 Week

61.73%

decreased by 9.47%

1 Month

57.44%

decreased by 13.76%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 12:48 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Luyuan Group Holding Cayman GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 11, 2023 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7678
7.92***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1620
7.61***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7493
39.08***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0260
0.69

Persistence:

0.924

Half-life:

9 days