V-Lab
Luyuan Group Holding Cayman GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
43.04%
decreased by 3.84%
1 Week
44.10%
decreased by 2.78%
1 Month
46.64%
decreased by 0.24%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:35 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 11, 2023 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.7507 | 8.25*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1534 | 7.83*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7558 | 42.39*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0308 | 0.87 |
Persistence:
0.925
Half-life:
9 days
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