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Luyuan Group Holding Cayman EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

39.14%

decreased by 3.60%

1 Week

41.19%

decreased by 1.55%

1 Month

45.97%

increased by 3.23%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 08:14 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Luyuan Group Holding Cayman EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 11, 2023 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 6-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.2439
2.60***
αARCH0.2981
4.55***
βGARCH0.8955
19.01***
γleverage-0.0079
-0.08

0.896

Persistence

6d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2439
2.60***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2981
4.55***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8955
19.01***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0079
-0.08

Persistence:

0.896

Half-life:

6 days