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V-Lab

Cafe24 Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

102.63%

increased by 39.36%

1 Week

86.06%

increased by 22.79%

1 Month

78.23%

increased by 14.96%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 07:50 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Cafe24 Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 8, 2018 to Jul 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2187
11.08***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.1820
4.95***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0061
-0.20
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.3275
0.39
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0841
0.36
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8407
2.00**

Persistence:

0.398

Half-life:

1 days