V-Lab
Samsung Electronics Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
91.29%
decreased by 2.96%
1 Week
90.81%
decreased by 3.44%
1 Month
90.26%
decreased by 3.99%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 11:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 3, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 104% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0456 | 20.70*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8428 | 84.19*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0476 | 11.51*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0161 | 3.02*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0361 | 4.09*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9614 | 100.71*** |
Persistence:
0.912
Half-life:
8 days
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