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V-Lab

Samsung Electronics Co Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

73.40%

increased by 0.26%

1 Week

72.24%

decreased by 0.90%

1 Month

67.99%

decreased by 5.15%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 09:17 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Samsung Electronics Co Ltd S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 36 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.8300
6.13***
αARCH0.0531
8.47***
βGARCH0.9277
103.58***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=6
γ10.0539
2.81***
γ2-0.1209
-4.25***
γ30.1061
6.20***
γ4-0.0543
-3.64***
γ50.0272
1.77*
γ6-0.0161
-1.32

0.981

Persistence

36d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8300
6.13***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0531
8.47***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9277
103.58***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=6
γ10.0539
2.81***
γ2-0.1209
-4.25***
γ30.1061
6.20***
γ4-0.0543
-3.64***
γ50.0272
1.77*
γ6-0.0161
-1.32

Persistence:

0.981

Half-life:

36 days