Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Samsung Electronics Co Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

79.62%

increased by 0.24%

1 Week

79.16%

decreased by 0.22%

1 Month

77.63%

decreased by 1.75%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 09:17 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Samsung Electronics Co Ltd SGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 25 trading days.

τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.7831
7.02***
αARCH0.0536
8.08***
βGARCH0.9191
88.97***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=6
γ10.0534
3.30***
γ2-0.1202
-5.05***
γ30.1033
7.21***
γ4-0.0435
-3.38***
γ5-0.0020
-0.14
γ60.0796
3.36***

0.973

Persistence

25d

Half-life
τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7831
7.02***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0536
8.08***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9191
88.97***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=6
γ10.0534
3.30***
γ2-0.1202
-5.05***
γ30.1033
7.21***
γ4-0.0435
-3.38***
γ5-0.0020
-0.14
γ60.0796
3.36***

Persistence:

0.973

Half-life:

25 days